Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 295.378780 335.066335 379.481655 433.129323 496.513705 569.435754 660.282601
2025-01-12 234.378840 285.361012 347.748738 430.724951 539.733388 680.269255 878.848995
2025-01-19 193.352562 245.858718 313.790130 409.908605 545.393243 734.286763 1026.408414
2025-01-26 177.694137 234.640446 312.012002 427.752915 601.830937 863.216699 1304.831181
2025-02-02 167.698627 228.859529 315.621640 452.073305 669.923053 1020.767231 1666.962893
2025-02-09 153.525257 215.001867 305.240160 452.993261 700.726827 1123.871520 1963.684930
2025-02-16 138.827955 198.523426 288.616292 441.119369 707.540627 1186.089027 2200.245637
2025-02-23 127.099724 185.210829 275.153208 432.125402 717.057011 1253.870052 2466.340619
2025-03-02 121.099326 180.080596 273.895553 443.196657 763.858292 1401.491974 2952.156834
2025-03-09 113.792739 172.115265 267.041970 443.308567 789.674999 1511.962205 3389.861926
2025-03-16 105.783042 162.276807 256.012100 434.308535 795.847678 1581.528422 3749.093318
2025-03-23 100.277442 156.114306 250.645128 435.092485 821.890643 1700.987307 4291.555127
2025-03-30 93.496200 147.418635 240.315737 425.655161 826.046210 1773.372638 4739.224075
2025-04-06 88.363927 141.192019 233.889076 423.245499 845.551944 1889.405430 5385.334565
2025-04-13 81.297568 131.055162 219.440212 402.875722 820.916566 1885.778532 5624.902341
2025-04-20 79.796931 130.676986 223.055520 420.339018 887.991833 2147.355217 6984.453483
2025-04-27 79.087771 131.645686 229.271421 444.134107 975.340838 2495.307746 8955.569338
2025-05-04 75.793883 127.590187 225.333473 445.034058 1004.633088 2677.481543 10344.713777
2025-05-11 71.432034 121.241015 216.330299 433.417621 998.785672 2745.725730 11234.183100
2025-05-18 67.705155 115.866396 208.887199 424.617575 999.310858 2836.640988 12330.611776
2025-05-25 66.177711 114.605514 209.730116 435.449986 1057.107426 3148.358498 15024.515886
2025-06-01 63.740960 111.413700 206.299268 435.559475 1083.960319 3357.074581 17326.875102
2025-06-08 60.680423 106.811595 199.554157 426.753725 1082.610746 3457.131249 19002.610976